Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 4.7 | $0.830 | $4.54 | +$0.64 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.69 |
| $0.590 |
| $1.53 |
| +$0.53 |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | No | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| buy |
| 1.82 |
| $0.550 |
| $1 |
| Jan 23, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 North Korea missile launch by February 28?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.899 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.963 | $3.44 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 4.7 | $0.830 | $3.9 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.810 | $30 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.780 | $1.22 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Another NATO article 4 by October 15?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel not strike Yemen by October 1 ET?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.909 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |