Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 35.27 | $0.647 | $24.34 | +$1.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 37.08 |
| $0.596 |
| $20.02 |
| -$2.09 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 21.82 | $0.665 | $15.38 | +$0.86 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 26 | $0.466 | $14.17 | +$2.04 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.226 | $11.7 | -$17.65 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.36 | $0.708 | $10.17 | -$5.65 |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.720 | $9.78 | +$2.58 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 10 | $0.910 | $9.76 | +$0.66 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 43.85 | $0.278 | $9.43 | -$2.76 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.24 | $0.254 | $8.87 | -$1.61 |
 Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026? | No | 10 | $0.540 | $8.8 | +$3.4 |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of September 2026? | No | 10 | $0.710 | $8.3 | +$1.2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 30.54 | $0.584 | $8.25 | -$9.6 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.830 | $7.65 | -$0.65 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 13 | $0.390 | $6.96 | +$1.89 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.790 | $6.45 | -$1.45 |
 Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.860 | $4.95 | +$0.65 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 5 | $0.480 | $4.86 | +$2.46 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 5 | $0.890 | $4.85 | +$0.4 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.890 | $4.78 | +$0.33 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.870 | $4.78 | +$0.43 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.880 | $4.77 | +$0.37 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30? | No | 5 | $0.830 | $4.76 | +$0.61 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.73 | +$0.08 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 5 | $0.846 | $4.72 | +$0.49 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.860 |
| $4.3 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 4d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 5d ago |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 5d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 5d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 5d ago |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 5d ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 5d ago |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 5d ago |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 6d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 6d ago |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 6d ago |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 6d ago |
 Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 6d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 7d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 7d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 7d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 8d ago |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?No | buy | 0.24 | $0.870 | $0.21 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 8d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 8d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 9d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 9d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 9d ago |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 9d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 9d ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | 9d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | 9d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 11d ago |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 11d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 11d ago |