Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.140 | $5.5 | -$14.5 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.027 | $5.87 | Jul 9, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.100 |
| $3.3 |
| -$16.7 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $3.25 | -$6.75 |
| sell |
| 250 |
| $0.050 |
| $12.5 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 35.98 | $0.360 | $12.95 | May 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.015 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.041 | $0.68 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.120 | $0.8 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.130 | $1.44 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.104 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.98 | $0.278 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.570 | $20.35 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.046 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.064 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 312.75 | $0.032 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.250 | $27.78 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 129.41 | $0.170 | $22 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |