Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 105.26 | $0.667 | $73.68 | +$3.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 114.41 | $0.161 | $18.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 101.59 |
| $0.630 |
| $66.54 |
| +$2.54 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 102.33 | $0.430 | $53.72 | +$9.72 |
| sell |
| 29.68 |
| $0.660 |
| $19.59 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 33.42 | $0.690 | $23.06 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 101.59 | $0.630 | $64 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.660 | $67 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 102.33 | $0.430 | $44 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 346.84 | $0.580 | $201.17 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 346.84 | $0.760 | $263.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 349.41 | $0.760 | $265.55 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 349.41 | $0.630 | $220.13 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 587.69 | $0.920 | $540.67 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.900 | $48 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 334.37 | $0.900 | $300.93 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 528.93 | $0.860 | $454.88 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 454.88 | $0.740 | $336.61 | Mar 18, 2026 |