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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 56.71 | $0.613 | $28.21 | -$6.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 136.08 | $0.367 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 238.1 |
| $0.084 |
| $6.31 |
| -$13.69 |
| buy |
| 202.13 |
| $0.470 |
| $95 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 67.86 | $0.560 | $38 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 464.29 | $0.560 | $260 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 141.5 | $0.707 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | sell | 503.95 | $0.990 | $498.91 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 155.97 | $0.641 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 141.93 | $0.705 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 252.95 | $0.395 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 251 | $0.398 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | sell | 234.26 | $0.990 | $231.92 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 112.32 | $0.890 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 111.36 | $0.898 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | sell | 199.24 | $0.720 | $143.45 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 35.46 | $0.656 | $23.26 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 64.1 | $0.390 | $25 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.084 | $20 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.800 | $15 | May 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 115.54 | $0.260 | $30.04 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 187.5 | $0.160 | $30 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 16.42 | $0.134 | $2.2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.61 | $0.610 | $2.2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 7.19K | $0.001 | $7.19 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 27.63 | $0.260 | $7.18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.78 | $0.270 | $3.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoSomething | sell | 57.3 | $0.080 | $4.58 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.78 | $0.270 | $5.07 | Apr 15, 2026 |