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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 150.68 | $0.063 | $9.54 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes| sell |
| 121.28 |
| $0.150 |
| $18.19 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 140.08 | $0.024 | $3.33 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 21.19 | $0.160 | $3.39 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.160 | $16.02 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 150.69 | $0.077 | $11.6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 140.08 | $0.121 | $17 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.035 | $38 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.025 | $38.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.023 | $35 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.74 | $0.931 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 17.39 | $0.690 | $12 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.835 | $8 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 43.35 | $0.709 | $30.74 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 34.42 | $0.581 | $20 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 41.92 | $0.580 | $24.31 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.589 | $8.83 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.92 | $0.591 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 12.57 | $0.875 | $11 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.563 | $0.1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.562 | $10.12 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.310 | $2.57 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 8.64 | $0.925 | $8 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Yes | buy | 65.91 | $0.880 | $58 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.477 | $25.75 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.01 | $0.537 | $28.99 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will General Mills (GIS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 32 | $0.250 | $8 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?No | buy | 37.93 | $0.870 | $33 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down - August 29, 6PM ETUp | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down - July 17, 6PM ETDown | buy | 15.79 | $0.317 | $5 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 17, 6PM ETDown | buy | 41.35 | $0.193 | $8 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5PM ETDown | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 1AM ETUp | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12AM ETDown | buy | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 16, 10PM ETUp | buy | 34.51 | $0.058 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 9PM ETUp | buy | 16 | $0.125 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 16, 6PM ETDown | sell | 20.38 | $0.999 | $20.36 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 16, 6PM ETUp | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 16, 6PM ETDown | buy | 20.38 | $0.245 | $5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 16, 2AM ETDown | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 1AM ETDown | buy | 21.04 | $0.238 | $5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12AM ETDown | buy | 16.9 | $0.710 | $12 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8PM ETDown | buy | 38.33 | $0.026 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |