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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 196 | $0.772 | $179.34 | +$28.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 11 | $0.660 | $7.26 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 70 |
| $0.750 |
| $69.76 |
| +$17.26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | No | 61.03 | $0.932 | $58.74 | +$1.87 |
 Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 58 | $0.930 | $55.39 | +$1.45 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 92 | $0.750 | $46.46 | -$22.54 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 41 | $0.900 | $39.61 | +$2.71 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 41 | $0.839 | $38.34 | +$3.96 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 62 | $0.154 | $36.27 | +$26.72 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 36 | $0.925 | $35.32 | +$2.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 36 | $0.940 | $34.88 | +$1.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | No | 36 | $0.930 | $34.74 | +$1.26 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | No | 36 | $0.916 | $34.74 | +$1.76 |
 Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 36 | $0.732 | $34.49 | +$8.13 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 35 | $0.920 | $33.74 | +$1.54 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 35.16 | $0.031 | $32.65 | +$31.56 |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 35 | $0.658 | $32.55 | +$9.53 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 52 | $0.388 | $29.38 | +$9.18 |
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.860 | $28.35 | +$2.55 |
 Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | No | 29 | $0.920 | $27.96 | +$1.28 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 53 | $0.425 | $26.37 | +$3.85 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 36 | $0.560 | $24.66 | +$4.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 43 | $0.390 | $23.65 | +$6.88 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 47 | $0.760 | $23.27 | -$12.46 |
 Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 26 | $0.627 | $22.2 | +$5.9 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 24 | $0.860 | $19.5 | -$1.14 |
| buy |
| 8 |
| $0.650 |
| $5.2 |
| Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.660 | $10.56 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 27 | $0.986 | $26.62 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.090 | $0.81 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.200 | $2.2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 6 | $0.360 | $2.16 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.241 | $1.69 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.085 | $0.68 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.085 | $0.6 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.650 | $5.2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.170 | $5.27 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.520 | $10.92 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.899 | $17.97 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 16 | $0.971 | $15.54 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.306 | $1.84 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.01 | $0.899 | $14.39 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.690 | $11.73 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.306 | $1.53 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.306 | $1.84 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.306 | $9.18 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.770 | $6.93 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.150 | $4.2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.390 | $10.92 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.896 | $12.55 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No | buy | 8 | $0.896 | $7.17 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 7 | $0.360 | $2.52 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 9 | $0.360 | $3.24 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 29 | $0.360 | $10.44 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 7 | $0.350 | $2.45 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.218 | $4.36 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.160 | $1.76 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.280 | $5.88 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.937 | $4.69 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.085 | $3.4 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.085 | $0.68 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 11 | $0.937 | $10.31 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.160 | $2.08 | Jan 19, 2026 |