Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 492.42 | $0.812 | $421.02 | +$21.02 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 174.16 | $0.890 | $155 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 430.11 |
| $0.930 |
| $393.55 |
| -$6.45 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 350 | $0.740 | $271.25 | +$12.25 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 308.64 | $0.810 | $270.06 | +$20.06 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 980.56 | $0.433 | $250.04 | -$174.46 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 271.93 | $0.570 | $199.87 | +$44.87 |
 Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 442.71 | $0.679 | $197 | -$103.49 |
 Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | No | 240.31 | $0.832 | $195.85 | -$4.15 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 800 | $0.386 | $180 | -$128.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 847.46 | $0.590 | $169.49 | -$330.51 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 170.33 | $0.910 | $159.26 | +$4.26 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 161.46 | $0.960 | $157.83 | +$2.83 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 186.75 | $0.830 | $155.93 | +$0.93 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 174.16 | $0.890 | $154.13 | -$0.87 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 310 | $0.500 | $150.35 | -$4.65 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 132.85 | $0.384 | $46.7 | -$4.3 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 78.38 | $0.702 | $43.5 | -$11.5 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | Yes | 151.52 | $0.330 | $17.42 | -$32.58 |
| buy |
| 186.75 |
| $0.830 |
| $155 |
| 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 78.38 | $0.702 | $55 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 161.46 | $0.960 | $155 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 170.33 | $0.910 | $155 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 158.22 | $0.999 | $158.06 | 4d ago |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?Yes | sell | 662.39 | $0.038 | $24.98 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 430.11 | $0.930 | $400 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | 9d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 430.56 | $0.360 | $155 | 10d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | buy | 154.94 | $0.968 | $150 | 16d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.500 | $155 | 16d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 159.57 | $0.050 | $7.98 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 847.46 | $0.590 | $500 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 194.81 | $0.770 | $150 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.900 | $250 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 159.57 | $0.940 | $150 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 132.85 | $0.384 | $51 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 158.23 | $0.790 | $125 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 271.74 | $0.920 | $250 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 297.62 | $0.840 | $250 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 271.93 | $0.570 | $155 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 160.82 | $0.342 | $55 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 308.64 | $0.810 | $250 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 550 | $0.490 | $269.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 98.68 | $0.760 | $75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.27 | $0.890 | $75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | buy | 63.67 | $0.785 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 189.19 | $0.819 | $155 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 170.33 | $0.910 | $155 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | sell | 66.37 | $0.999 | $66.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 64.31 | $0.777 | $50 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 66.37 | $0.904 | $60 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 681.82 | $0.440 | $300 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 182.93 | $0.820 | $150 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 173 | $0.867 | $150 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 257.73 | $0.976 | $251.54 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 799.99 | $0.327 | $261.85 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 661.76 | $0.653 | $432.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 661.76 | $0.680 | $450 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 258.34 | $0.968 | $250 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 257.73 | $0.970 | $250 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 268.35 | $0.602 | $161.46 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.010 | $2.5 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 296.02 | $0.929 | $275 | May 22, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 258.97 | $0.965 | $250 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.780 | $150 | May 20, 2026 |