Analytics
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin all time high by July 25?Yes | buy | 346.61 | $0.039 | $13.69 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.02K |
| $0.500 |
| $511.99 |
| Jul 15, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?Up | buy | 358 | $0.028 | $10 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 7.61 | $0.680 | $5.17 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 241.37 | $0.030 | $7.24 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 470.42 | $0.040 | $18.82 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.050 | $9 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.050 | $1.15 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 212 | $0.050 | $10.6 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 59.97 | $0.100 | $6 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 94.99 | $0.210 | $19.95 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 142.95 | $0.226 | $32.26 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 131.95 | $0.695 | $91.67 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 527.81 | $0.835 | $440.55 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 134.84 | $0.742 | $100 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.654 | $800 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | sell | 760.5 | $0.994 | $755.94 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by September 30?Yes | sell | 288.84 | $0.996 | $287.68 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 306.16 | $0.450 | $137.77 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 143 | $0.348 | $49.73 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 US-EU trade agreement by July 9?Yes | buy | 148.5 | $0.114 | $17 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 177.54 | $0.198 | $35.08 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 41.39 | $0.300 | $12.42 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 264.77 | $0.300 | $79.43 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.240 | $34.36 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.093 | $0.93 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.087 | $8.79 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.081 | $1.78 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | sell | 316.82 | $0.700 | $221.77 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?Yes | sell | 205.65 | $0.022 | $4.52 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?Yes | buy | 205.65 | $0.023 | $4.73 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.946 | $4.73 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 177.55 | $0.330 | $58.59 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.960 | $58.59 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 283.47 | $0.973 | $275.81 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 328 | $0.841 | $275.82 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 241.63 | $0.973 | $234.99 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | sell | 642 | $0.088 | $56.31 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | sell | 892.09 | $0.200 | $178.68 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 104.18 | $0.967 | $100.74 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by September 30?Yes | sell | 91.5 | $0.967 | $88.48 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 229 | $0.963 | $220.48 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by September 30?Yes | sell | 231.84 | $0.972 | $225.25 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 67.93 | $0.976 | $66.3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?No | sell | 85 | $0.780 | $66.3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 102.05 | $0.976 | $99.6 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by September 30?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.977 | $99.6 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 47.24 | $0.976 | $46.11 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 328 | $0.850 | $278.8 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by September 30?Yes | buy | 127.09 | $0.975 | $123.96 | Jul 1, 2025 |