Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $17.3 | +$3.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 28 |
| $0.180 |
| $7.14 |
| +$2.1 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 0.97 | $0.530 | $0.96 | +$0.45 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | No | 0.99 | $0.710 | $0.81 | +$0.1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 0.79 | $0.700 | $0.75 | +$0.19 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.77 | $0.290 | $0.72 | +$0.5 |
 Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.450 | $0.48 | -$0.87 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.51 | $0.630 | $0.47 | +$0.15 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 0.57 | $0.360 | $0.44 | +$0.23 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.49 | $0.681 | $0.41 | +$0.08 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.390 | $0.36 | -$0.02 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.620 | $0.21 | -$0.35 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | Yes | 1.74 | $0.310 | $0.18 | -$0.36 |
 Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? | No | 0.25 | $0.453 | $0.17 | +$0.06 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | Yes | 0.17 | $0.470 | $0.16 | +$0.08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 0.86 | $0.268 | $0.13 | -$0.1 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 0.47 | $0.280 | $0.11 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.37 | $0.250 | $0.11 | +$0.02 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.575 | $0.09 | -$0.14 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.193 | $0.08 | -$0.51 |
 Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31? | Yes | 1 | $0.430 | $0.05 | -$0.38 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 0.43 | $0.259 | $0.03 | -$0.08 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.089 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.333 | $0.03 | -$0.13 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 0.19 | $0.471 | $0.02 | -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 24 |
| $0.510 |
| $12.24 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% in June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?No | sell | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?No | sell | 30 | $0.030 | $0.9 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 8.72 | $0.550 | $4.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?No | sell | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.490 | $6.37 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.160 | $5.92 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.250 | $1.75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.310 | $6.51 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?No | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.470 | $14.1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.22 | $0.550 | $7.27 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.272 | $13.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.200 | $9.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will XLG Esports be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.290 | $6.67 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.200 | $12.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?No | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.710 | $15.62 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 California High-Earner Permanent Tax PropositionNo | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.680 | $10.88 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 45.99 | $0.130 | $5.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 55 | $0.140 | $7.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.720 | $9.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |