Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 545.78 | $0.502 | $386.96 | +$112.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 729.38 | $0.045 | $32.82 | 11h ago |
 |
| No |
| 149.99 |
| $0.650 |
| $149.02 |
| +$51.52 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 150 | $0.790 | $148.13 | +$29.63 |
| sell |
| 300 |
| $0.250 |
| $75 |
| 4d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.585 | $5.85 | 4d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?Up | buy | 110 | $0.250 | $27.45 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 999.99 | $0.550 | $549.99 | 8d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 350 | $0.011 | $3.85 | 8d ago |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.119 | $1.21 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 114.57 | $0.999 | $114.46 | 10d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.830 | $456.5 | 13d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 35 million views on day 2?Yes | buy | 14.11 | $0.480 | $6.77 | 19d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 289 | $0.460 | $132.94 | 24d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 550 | $0.033 | $18.16 | 25d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 355.5 | $0.005 | $1.78 | 25d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 455.08 | $0.201 | $91.47 | 25d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.780 | $234 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.786 | $235.65 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?No | buy | 130 | $0.660 | $85.8 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 449.99 | $0.810 | $364.35 | 28d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 177.95 | $0.428 | $76.11 | 28d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.730 | $474.5 | 28d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 749.99 | $0.016 | $12 | 29d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 249.99 | $0.030 | $7.5 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.440 | $176 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?No | buy | 97.52 | $0.199 | $19.41 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Yes | buy | 905.18 | $0.192 | $173.88 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 311.05 | $0.405 | $125.83 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 399.97 | $0.990 | $395.97 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Yes | buy | 135.04 | $0.750 | $101.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 684.7 | $0.201 | $137.62 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 1.46 | $0.500 | $0.73 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.658 | $1.39K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 513 | $0.652 | $334.29 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.627 | $658.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?Yes | sell | 287.41 | $0.001 | $0.29 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.660 | $0.01 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.595 | $799.71 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.400 | $469.86 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 642.15 | $0.121 | $77.56 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Yes | buy | 299.1 | $0.377 | $112.63 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?No | buy | 743.35 | $0.182 | $135.12 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | sell | 166.23 | $0.950 | $157.92 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 400.09 | $0.486 | $194.32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.1K | $0.468 | $515.29 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | buy | 801.49 | $0.410 | $328.61 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 289.75 | $0.528 | $153.09 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp | sell | 243.59 | $0.961 | $234.15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp | buy | 206.78 | $0.519 | $107.33 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.29K | $0.489 | $632.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown | buy | 1K | $0.280 | $280 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | buy | 231.73 | $0.150 | $34.83 | Jul 14, 2026 |