Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 75.91 | $0.659 | $68.7 | +$18.7 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 38.78 |
| $0.490 |
| $36.26 |
| +$17.26 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $13.46 | +$3.46 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027? | Yes | 73.89 | $0.189 | $5.25 | -$8.73 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.280 | $4.75 | -$9.25 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $3.61 | -$6.39 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? | Yes | 63.13 | $0.032 | $1.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 827.02 | $0.024 | $0.41 | -$19.59 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.125 |
| $5 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
 Endrick: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 107.8 | $0.421 | $45.38 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)Thiago Moises | buy | 16.09 | $0.420 | $6.76 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 827.02 | $0.024 | $20 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.260 | $8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?Yes | buy | 53.22 | $0.038 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.152 | $21.73 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.380 | $12.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 32.6 | $0.200 | $6.52 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 67.16 | $0.089 | $5.98 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 107.8 | $0.350 | $37.73 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.949 | $19.76 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.84 | $0.250 | $9.71 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 72.24 | $0.936 | $67.62 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 27.12 | $0.452 | $12.25 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 61.23 | $0.200 | $12.25 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 61.23 | $0.130 | $7.96 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 295.29 | $0.026 | $7.68 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 38.78 | $0.490 | $19 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 218.61 | $0.027 | $5.87 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.460 | $15 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 61.52 | $0.081 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "UFC Fight" in March?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Banana Republic" in March?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in March?No | buy | 19.1 | $0.262 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "BRICS" this week? (March 8)Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.075 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 230.87 | $0.034 | $7.92 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Yes | buy | 63.13 | $0.032 | $2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.21 | $0.067 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 75.91 | $0.659 | $50 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 72.25 | $0.277 | $20 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.088 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.066 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.37 | $0.428 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |