Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.440 | $1.8 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.060 |
| $1 |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 18.3 | $0.046 | $0.84 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.730 | $6 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.975 | $12.32 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.650 | $2.1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 12.33 | $0.730 | $9 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.800 | $5.42 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?No | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Megaquake by September 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 9.28 | $0.800 | $7.42 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Selena Gomez married in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.801 | $3.81 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?Boy | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Megaquake by September 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.995 | $3.61 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.123 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |