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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 795.05 | $0.066 | $29.81 | -$22.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.59 | $0.049 | $1.35 | Jul 25, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 608.69 |
| $0.055 |
| $23.43 |
| -$10.31 |
| buy |
| 55.18 |
| $0.049 |
| $2.7 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 94.69 | $0.079 | $7.48 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 215.71 | $0.077 | $16.61 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.103 | $17.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will France vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.068 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 180.18 | $0.111 | $20 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.088 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 126.71 | $0.039 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.200 | $16 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 437.97 | $0.037 | $16.37 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 103.13 | $0.320 | $33 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.301 | $10.38 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.039 | $2.18 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.8 | $0.033 | $3.66 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 42.11 | $0.237 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 84.21 | $0.237 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 111.73 | $0.179 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 84.03 | $0.595 | $50 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.615 | $45 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 302.65 | $0.160 | $48.42 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 332.34 | $0.058 | $19.28 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.067 | $6.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.052 | $5.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.067 | $13.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.084 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.080 | $2.26 | May 29, 2026 |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | May 27, 2026 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.017 | $23.19 | May 27, 2026 |
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.080 | $2.08 | May 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | May 15, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | May 12, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | May 12, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | May 12, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.270 | $6.75 | May 11, 2026 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.026 | $5.2 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |