Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 183.57 | $0.986 | $181.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 183.57 | $0.986 | $181 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 141.84 |
| $0.987 |
| $140.57 |
| +$0.57 |
| buy |
| 141.84 |
| $0.987 |
| $140 |
| 7d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 174.18 | $0.976 | $170 | 21d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.980 | $140 | 21d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 201.41 | $0.993 | $200 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | buy | 122.7 | $0.978 | $120 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 157.73 | $0.951 | $150 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 171.72 | $0.990 | $170 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 150 | $0.800 | $120 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 279.96 | $0.993 | $278 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 153.43 | $0.978 | $150 | May 13, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 149.22 | $0.965 | $144 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No | buy | 267.61 | $0.993 | $265.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?No | buy | 120.72 | $0.994 | $120 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 163.1 | $0.981 | $160 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 268.22 | $0.988 | $265 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.94 | $0.965 | $81 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 201.48 | $0.943 | $190 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 177.8 | $0.990 | $176 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?Yes | buy | 181.99 | $0.989 | $180 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.980 | $140 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No | buy | 300.9 | $0.997 | $300 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 182 | $0.989 | $180 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?No | buy | 133.27 | $0.998 | $133 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 307.22 | $0.976 | $300 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?Yes | buy | 110.66 | $0.994 | $110 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.988 | $190 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 287.41 | $0.946 | $272 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 267.54 | $0.998 | $267 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Yes | buy | 40.2 | $0.995 | $40 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 314.18 | $0.996 | $313 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?No | sell | 207.94 | $0.999 | $207.73 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122,000 and $124,000 on October 13?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 207.95 | $0.971 | $202 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No | buy | 304.83 | $0.994 | $303 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 5?No | buy | 170.36 | $0.998 | $170 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Shedeur Sanders cut before Week 1?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4500 on August 20?Yes | buy | 141.14 | $0.992 | $140 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $5.40 in August?No | buy | 60.18 | $0.997 | $60 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?No | buy | 190.38 | $0.998 | $190 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on July 16?No | buy | 50.15 | $0.997 | $50 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 150.91 | $0.994 | $150 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?No | buy | 124.36 | $0.981 | $122 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in May?No | buy | 189.13 | $0.994 | $188 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?No | buy | 69.28 | $0.996 | $69 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats?No | buy | 77.15 | $0.998 | $77 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in his first 100 days?No | buy | 44.22 | $0.995 | $44 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 in March?No | buy | 193.79 | $0.996 | $193 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?No | buy | 165.17 | $0.999 | $165 | Feb 28, 2025 |