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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 400 | $0.780 | $350 | +$38 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.160 | $12 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.780 |
| $346 |
| +$34 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.289 | $289.01 | -$288.94 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.12K | $0.171 | $227.59 | -$305.02 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.44K | $0.095 | $140.99 | +$4.16 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.336 | $105 | +$37.9 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.098 | $93.75 | +$44.75 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.048 | $78 | +$29.6 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 296.11 | $0.140 | $59.67 | +$18.07 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.030 | $23.83 | -$6.59 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 75 | $0.160 | $2.44 | -$9.56 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 399.97 | $0.212 | $1.4 | -$83.59 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 424.29 | $0.098 | $0.64 | -$40.78 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.130 | $0.38 | -$32.13 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 33.08 | $0.120 | $0.36 | -$3.61 |
| sell |
| 1.03K |
| $0.012 |
| $12.4 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | buy | 64.4 | $0.100 | $6.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | buy | 39.48 | $0.244 | $9.63 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assists AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists | buy | 105.16 | $0.091 | $9.56 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.411 | $164.4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | buy | 17.05 | $0.112 | $1.91 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | buy | 37.51 | $0.257 | $9.64 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | buy | 104.36 | $0.110 | $11.48 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | sell | 77.8 | $0.280 | $21.78 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | buy | 77.81 | $0.257 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.246 | $22.14 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.108 | $21.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 205.41 | $0.959 | $196.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.241 | $24.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.241 | $24.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.241 | $24.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.241 | $45.79 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 205.41 | $0.490 | $100.65 | May 24, 2026 |
 Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?Up | buy | 307 | $0.940 | $288.58 | May 20, 2026 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?Up | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.034 | $3.74 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.08 | $0.120 | $3.97 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.86 | $0.290 | $4.31 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.050 | $16.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 53.33 | $0.051 | $2.72 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 224.29 | $0.042 | $9.42 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.245 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.245 | $49 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 87.19 | $0.015 | $1.34 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.86 | $0.987 | $56.12 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 170 | $0.005 | $0.85 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.023 | $0.35 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 14.37 | $0.348 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 658.68 | $0.167 | $110 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.014 | $7 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 70 | $0.447 | $31.29 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.032 | $3.52 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 129.32 | $0.038 | $4.91 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.557 | $111.44 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 16.87 | $0.030 | $0.51 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 58.21 | $0.158 | $9.2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.035 | $2.38 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 92.11 | $0.210 | $19.34 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | sell | 130 | $0.893 | $116.13 | Mar 2, 2026 |