Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 48.92K | $0.500 | $37.15K | +$12.69K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 41.78K | $0.998 | $41.7K | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 48.92K |
| $0.500 |
| $11.77K |
| -$12.69K |
| buy |
| 21.53K |
| $0.999 |
| $21.51K |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.950 | $9.5K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.873 | $8.73K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36.16K | $0.999 | $36.12K | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No | buy | 36.03K | $0.999 | $35.99K | May 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.84K | $0.999 | $35.81K | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.999 | $19.98K | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.5K | $0.999 | $35.46K | May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 34.83K | $0.998 | $34.76K | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 33.28K | $0.998 | $33.21K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.72K | $0.997 | $34.62K | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.8K | $0.989 | $10.69K | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 34.07K | $0.994 | $33.86K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 33.93K | $0.998 | $33.86K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 33.93K | $0.998 | $33.86K | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 127.39 | $0.991 | $126.24 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.7K | $0.993 | $33.47K | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 33.58K | $0.997 | $33.48K | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes | buy | 16.03K | $0.996 | $15.96K | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes | buy | 17.45K | $0.996 | $17.38K | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.38K | $0.997 | $33.28K | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 5.77K | $0.999 | $5.76K | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 33.16K | $0.998 | $33.1K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.968 | $242 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.39K | $0.971 | $17.86K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5.42K | $0.976 | $5.29K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.24K | $0.996 | $3.23K | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 23.48K | $0.999 | $23.44K | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 33.49K | $0.962 | $32.21K | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 33.3K | $0.951 | $31.67K | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | sell | 10.01K | $0.999 | $10K | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 12.38K | $0.957 | $11.85K | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.69K | $0.999 | $21.67K | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.69K | $0.993 | $21.54K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.998 | $9.98K | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?Yes | buy | 31.39K | $0.995 | $31.23K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 31.36K | $0.999 | $31.33K | Feb 4, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 31.33K | $0.999 | $31.3K | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.29K | $0.995 | $31.14K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?No | sell | 22.15K | $0.999 | $22.12K | Jan 29, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.998 | $1.64K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | sell | 2.61K | $0.990 | $2.58K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 13.06K | $0.998 | $13.03K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | sell | 30.91K | $0.999 | $30.88K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 8.31K | $0.999 | $8.3K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 1K | $0.996 | $995.87 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 2K | $0.997 | $1.99K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 5K | $0.997 | $4.98K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 2K | $0.993 | $1.99K | Jan 23, 2026 |