Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 149.57 | $0.770 | $141.72 | +$26.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | sell | 9.13 | $0.380 | $3.47 | Aug 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 199.64 |
| $0.865 |
| $79.06 |
| -$93.63 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 10.94 | $0.890 | $9.79 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6.85 | $0.330 | $3.15 | +$0.89 |
| buy |
| 3.23 |
| $0.780 |
| $2.52 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 146.34 | $0.770 | $112.68 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.700 | $1.04 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.74 | $0.700 | $0.52 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.700 | $0.11 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 8.18 | $0.700 | $5.73 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.700 | $0.31 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.700 | $0.32 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.700 | $0.04 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.700 | $0.04 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 55.11 | $0.700 | $38.58 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 21.09 | $0.991 | $20.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.991 | $3.63 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 59.65 | $0.954 | $56.91 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.991 | $1.98 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 72.33 | $0.991 | $71.68 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.91 | $0.996 | $4.89 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.47 | $0.870 | $8.24 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.882 | $10.21 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 10.94 | $0.890 | $9.74 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.999 | $5.66 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.14 | $0.580 | $5.3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.700 | $1.07 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.700 | $1.58 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.700 | $2.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 9.53 | $0.700 | $6.67 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.700 | $10.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 13.29 | $0.700 | $9.3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 21.9 | $0.700 | $15.33 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.330 | $2.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 199.64 | $0.865 | $172.69 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.26 | $0.960 | $4.09 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | sell | 0.13 | $0.040 | $0.01 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 11.1 | $0.970 | $10.77 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 6.49 | $0.970 | $6.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | sell | 0.13 | $0.080 | $0.01 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | sell | 0.13 | $0.130 | $0.02 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | sell | 0.97 | $0.920 | $0.89 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | sell | 2.9 | $0.830 | $2.41 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 3.16 | $0.900 | $2.84 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 3.16 | $0.890 | $2.81 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |