Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.140 |
| $1 |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 11?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?Up | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Bucks vs. PelicansBucks | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Elon say "Kickback" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.980 | $11 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 6.08 | $0.983 | $5.98 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.06 | $0.986 | $4 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | sell | 4.41 | $0.670 | $2.95 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 7.0-8.0%?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 13.45 | $0.668 | $8.98 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.45 | $0.669 | $9 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 16.97 | $0.588 | $9.98 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 16.98 | $0.589 | $10 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 34.23 | $0.991 | $33.92 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 34.24 | $0.993 | $34 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.910 | $39.56 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 204.72 | $0.634 | $129.79 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 204.72 | $0.635 | $130 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 48.07 | $0.623 | $29.95 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.624 | $30 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 36.14 | $0.810 | $29.27 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.800 | $19.51 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 40.28 | $0.992 | $39.96 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 40.28 | $0.993 | $40 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 217.52 | $0.637 | $138.56 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 217.53 | $0.639 | $139 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 26.49 | $0.624 | $16.53 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.625 | $20 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.820 | $9.76 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.623 | $9.97 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.625 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 283.46 | $0.634 | $179.71 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 283.46 | $0.635 | $180 | Oct 22, 2024 |