Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?No | buy | 90.82 | $0.991 | $90 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 151.36 |
| $0.991 |
| $150 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 121.66 | $0.986 | $120 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 101.8 | $0.982 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | buy | 81.57 | $0.993 | $81 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 152.61 | $0.983 | $150 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 118.48 | $0.971 | $115 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 268.15 | $0.992 | $266 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 178.46 | $0.975 | $174 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 264.23 | $0.984 | $260 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No | buy | 221.77 | $0.992 | $220 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 214.87 | $0.982 | $211 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?Yes | buy | 201.03 | $0.994 | $199.83 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 235.66 | $0.976 | $230 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality | buy | 184.55 | $0.974 | $179.72 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 424.24 | $0.990 | $420 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 216.61 | $0.988 | $214 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?Yes | buy | 201.11 | $0.985 | $198 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 175.13 | $0.976 | $171 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3?No | buy | 231.16 | $0.995 | $230 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 402.82 | $0.993 | $400 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 271.26 | $0.995 | $270 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?No | buy | 131.71 | $0.987 | $130 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 176.53 | $0.997 | $176 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 220.88 | $0.996 | $220 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $90 in November?No | buy | 402.22 | $0.994 | $400 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 203.46 | $0.983 | $200 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 4?No | buy | 189.1 | $0.994 | $188 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?No | buy | 383.84 | $0.990 | $380 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 265.07 | $0.962 | $255 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 October 13-19?No | buy | 248.5 | $0.998 | $248 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 120.36 | $0.997 | $120 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 225.74 | $0.979 | $221 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K September 8–14?No | buy | 130.26 | $0.998 | $130 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $116000 on August 13?Yes | buy | 273.18 | $0.996 | $272 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 90.27 | $0.997 | $90 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 in July?No | buy | 111.45 | $0.996 | $111 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 155.31 | $0.998 | $155 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 90.27 | $0.997 | $90 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No | buy | 343.4 | $0.993 | $341 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?No | buy | 145.29 | $0.998 | $145 | May 16, 2025 |
 Solana above $190 on May 16?No | buy | 188.6 | $0.997 | $188 | May 16, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high in April?No | buy | 355.71 | $0.998 | $355 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump post 120-139 times March 14-21?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 351.41 | $0.996 | $350 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $93000 on Mar 14?No | buy | 81.3 | $0.984 | $80 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10?No | buy | 75.15 | $0.998 | $75 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 90.64 | $0.986 | $89.37 | Jan 9, 2025 |