Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.74 | $0.051 | $0.55 | Aug 5, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.83 |
| $0.207 |
| $1 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.169 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.597 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.92 | $0.260 | $2.32 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.58 | $0.473 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by June 15?No | buy | 88.47 | $0.057 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | sell | 150 | $0.005 | $0.75 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 24.15 | $0.207 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 26.58 | $0.752 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 |