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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 999.8 | $0.050 | $49.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5.07K |
| $0.051 |
| $256.18 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.070 | $83.99 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 16.8K | $0.005 | $83.99 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.103 | $200.21 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.091 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 475.26 | $0.105 | $50 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.090 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | buy | 386.59 | $0.259 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | buy | 375.22 | $0.267 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | buy | 395.19 | $0.253 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 963.37 | $0.003 | $2.54 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 594.08 | $0.168 | $100 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.224 | $500 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.199 | $500 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.212 | $159 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 2.15K | $0.998 | $2.14K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?Yes | sell | 987.81 | $0.008 | $8.06 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?No | sell | 625 | $0.015 | $9.38 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 410.3 | $0.265 | $108.65 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?Yes | buy | 429.92 | $0.233 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?Yes | buy | 987.81 | $0.051 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 103.36 | $0.194 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | sell | 9.81K | $0.027 | $263.51 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 9.7K | $0.021 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 129.93 | $0.231 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 430.97 | $0.232 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 355.87 | $0.281 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 14?No | buy | 445.14 | $0.955 | $425.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 6.25K | $0.004 | $25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?No | buy | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.365 | $480 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.279 | $900 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.419 | $900 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 8.22K | $0.017 | $136 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 96.88 | $0.506 | $49.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 806.41 | $0.780 | $629 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 591 | $0.846 | $500 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.930 | $1.5K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.52K | $0.746 | $2.63K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.52K | $0.700 | $2.47K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.826 | $1.65K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.190 | $500 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 602.4 | $0.810 | $487.94 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown | buy | 572.94 | $0.990 | $567.21 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 602.41 | $0.830 | $500 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.28K | $0.170 | $1.07K | Feb 27, 2026 |