Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.44 |
| $0.410 |
| $1 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude go down 1-2 times in March?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude go down 0 times in March?Yes | buy | 114.44 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 24.75 | $0.050 | $1.24 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 24.75 | $0.080 | $1.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 19.8 | $0.050 | $0.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 19.8 | $0.100 | $1.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 16.1 | $0.069 | $1.11 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 16.09 | $0.123 | $1.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 30.23 | $0.100 | $3.02 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 13.73 | $0.144 | $1.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.120 | $1.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 16.45 | $0.090 | $1.48 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 16.45 | $0.120 | $1.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 6.83 | $0.270 | $1.84 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.290 | $1.98 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 13.65 | $0.270 | $3.69 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.290 | $1.98 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.290 | $1.98 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 6.83 | $0.260 | $1.78 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.290 | $1.98 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.380 | $2.81 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.400 | $2.96 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 22 | $0.410 | $9.02 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 11 | $0.450 | $4.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 11 | $0.450 | $4.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 10.31 | $0.460 | $4.74 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.480 | $4.95 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.532 | $48.32 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.928 | $18.56 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.042 | $4.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | sell | 55.08 | $0.021 | $1.16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 56.02 | $0.359 | $20.09 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | buy | 27.18 | $0.039 | $1.06 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 27.92 | $0.390 | $10.89 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 28.11 | $0.380 | $10.68 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | buy | 27.89 | $0.038 | $1.06 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 28.07 | $0.370 | $10.39 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | sell | 27.94 | $0.022 | $0.61 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | buy | 27.95 | $0.039 | $1.09 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 28.06 | $0.382 | $10.71 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 23.39 | $0.360 | $8.42 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | sell | 28.93 | $0.030 | $0.87 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | buy | 28.92 | $0.038 | $1.09 | Feb 27, 2026 |