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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.42 | $0.439 | $45.24 | +$1.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.45 | $0.470 | $3.5 | 8h ago |
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| No |
| 38.6 |
| $0.934 |
| $35.71 |
| -$0.34 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 25.56 | $0.960 | $25.11 | +$0.58 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 37.85 | $0.431 | $17.98 | +$1.67 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.34 | $0.850 | $14.34 | +$1.3 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 19.64 | $0.666 | $13.85 | +$0.76 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 14.72 | $0.870 | $12.88 | +$0.07 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.13 | $0.860 | $6.08 | +$0.81 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 15.56 | $0.360 | $5.52 | -$0.08 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 10.14 | $0.490 | $3.04 | -$1.93 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 13.59 | $0.110 | $1.7 | +$0.2 |
| sell |
| 5.82 |
| $0.470 |
| $2.74 |
| 1d ago |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.490 | $4.97 | 4d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 11.39 | $0.120 | $1.37 | 6d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 73.26 | $0.110 | $8.06 | 6d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.18 | $0.420 | $2.6 | 6d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.78 | $0.390 | $5.76 | 7d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.940 | $5.15 | 7d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.410 | $2.21 | 7d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 17.46 | $0.400 | $6.98 | 7d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 6.48 | $0.930 | $6.03 | 7d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.36 | $0.410 | $2.61 | 7d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 78.03 | $0.420 | $32.77 | 8d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.940 | $5.93 | 8d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.08 | $0.440 | $7.52 | 8d ago |
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 16.37 | $0.870 | $14.24 | 8d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.97 | $0.750 | $5.98 | 8d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.920 | $5.35 | 8d ago |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 6.37 | $0.350 | $2.23 | 8d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21.75 | $0.430 | $9.35 | 8d ago |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.850 | $5.13 | 8d ago |
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.860 | $5.51 | 9d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.27 | $0.480 | $8.29 | 9d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.972 | $4.98 | 9d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 7.83 | $0.920 | $7.2 | 9d ago |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.986 | $5.05 | 9d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.55 | $0.670 | $15.11 | 11d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.35 | $0.560 | $6.36 | 11d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 40.1 | $0.940 | $37.69 | 11d ago |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.59 | $0.110 | $1.49 | 11d ago |
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 6.63 | $0.983 | $6.52 | 11d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.860 | $5.27 | 11d ago |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 21.93 | $0.360 | $7.89 | 11d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 30.68 | $0.960 | $29.45 | 11d ago |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 20.75 | $0.870 | $18.05 | 11d ago |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 30.68 | $0.985 | $30.22 | 11d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.34 | $0.850 | $13.04 | 11d ago |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 14.09 | $0.996 | $14.03 | 14d ago |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.996 | $5.66 | 14d ago |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 15.68 | $0.680 | $10.66 | 15d ago |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 8.78 | $0.999 | $8.77 | 26d ago |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.997 | $6.5 | 26d ago |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 11 | $0.990 | $10.89 | 27d ago |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.992 | $5.73 | 27d ago |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.991 | $10.98 | 28d ago |
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | buy | 6.96 | $0.690 | $4.8 | 28d ago |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.957 | $9.47 | 29d ago |
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 9.91 | $0.750 | $7.43 | 29d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 8.66 | $0.890 | $7.71 | Aug 10, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 6.12 | $0.210 | $1.29 | Aug 7, 2026 |