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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals | sell | 15 | $0.991 | $14.87 | Jul 8, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 52.12 |
| $0.991 |
| $51.65 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Jul 8, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 15.2 | $0.070 | $1.06 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?No | sell | 5 | $0.264 | $1.32 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 25.52 | $0.050 | $1.28 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes | sell | 9.98 | $0.320 | $3.19 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.942 | $4.71 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.971 | $4.85 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.110 | $3.85 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.977 | $4.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 29, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 27, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 85.15 | $0.170 | $14.48 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 15 | $0.850 | $12.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.333 | $11.66 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 63.25 | $0.210 | $13.28 | Jul 8, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 15 | $0.981 | $14.72 | Jul 8, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Jul 8, 2026 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.952 | $23.79 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.750 | $15.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Jul 8, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.570 | $31.35 | Jul 8, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.031 | $0.16 | Jul 8, 2026 |