Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 97.08K | $0.987 | $95.82K | Mar 5, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 51.38K |
| $0.956 |
| $49.11K |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 168.51K | $0.005 | $842.84 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 15.09K | $0.014 | $216.18 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 49.75 | $0.546 | $27.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 722.87 | $0.549 | $396.7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 27.53 | $0.530 | $14.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 5.13K | $0.450 | $2.31K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.98K | $0.718 | $1.42K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.14K | $0.933 | $2.93K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 6.16 | $0.930 | $5.73 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 195.69 | $0.929 | $181.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 32.37K | $0.980 | $31.73K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 14.46K | $0.980 | $14.17K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 11.14K | $0.965 | $10.75K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.965 | $3.21K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 27.61K | $0.984 | $27.16K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 3.83K | $0.960 | $3.68K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 3.44K | $0.962 | $3.31K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 12.04K | $0.960 | $11.56K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 3.23K | $0.958 | $3.1K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 9.1K | $0.957 | $8.71K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 13.16K | $0.956 | $12.57K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.952 | $1.81K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.950 | $8.55 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 34.14K | $0.985 | $33.64K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 14.09K | $0.951 | $13.4K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 115.2K | $0.945 | $108.86K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 51.09 | $0.942 | $48.13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 127.98K | $0.951 | $121.69K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 52.02 | $0.947 | $49.26 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 78.79 | $0.943 | $74.3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 51.32K | $0.942 | $48.34K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.07K | $0.936 | $4.75K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 2.31K | $0.941 | $2.17K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 156.48K | $0.999 | $156.33K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 52.12K | $0.998 | $52.02K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 544.73K | $0.998 | $543.49K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 65.28K | $0.995 | $64.95K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 500.29K | $0.989 | $494.73K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 51.63K | $0.986 | $50.9K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 50.48K | $0.973 | $49.12K | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 49.15K | $0.986 | $48.46K | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.49K | $0.149 | $1.27K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 319.25 | $0.870 | $277.64 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by less than 130 seats?No | buy | 1.95K | $0.999 | $1.94K | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.998 | $1.31K | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 25.86K | $0.996 | $25.75K | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 82.53K | $0.999 | $82.44K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 676.23K | $0.998 | $674.88K | Feb 2, 2026 |