Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 42.28 | $0.080 | $0.42 | -$2.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.720 | $1.36 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 113.88 |
| $0.019 |
| $0.06 |
| -$2.11 |
 Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 109.2 | $0.015 | $0.05 | -$1.58 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.77 | $0.191 | $0.01 | -$0.52 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 6.22 | $0.007 | $0 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 463.83 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.46 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 22.77 | $0.013 | $0.3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.981 | $1.47 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.996 | $1.49 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.997 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.79 | $0.996 | $1.78 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1.83 | $0.992 | $1.82 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.998 | $1.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5.18 | $0.400 | $2.07 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 2.39 | $0.998 | $2.39 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 106.86 | $0.013 | $1.37 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 45.21 | $0.050 | $2.26 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes | sell | 30.4 | $0.070 | $2.13 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.991 | $2.58 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.73 | $0.977 | $3.64 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.550 | $3.87 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?No | sell | 4.9 | $0.941 | $4.61 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 19.81 | $0.240 | $4.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.998 | $4.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.999 | $5.01 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 23.21 | $0.213 | $4.94 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.92 | $0.970 | $5.74 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 32.24 | $0.200 | $6.45 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.410 | $7.69 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12.69 | $0.620 | $7.87 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.999 | $9.08 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 13.04 | $0.790 | $10.3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 2.48K | $0.003 | $7.95 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 3.19K | $0.004 | $12.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 19.53 | $0.761 | $14.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | sell | 15.08 | $0.995 | $15 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.959 | $15.46 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 55.02 | $0.430 | $23.66 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 36.48 | $0.986 | $35.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 12K | $0.003 | $35.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 55.41 | $0.774 | $42.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 51.64 | $0.851 | $43.94 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 13.64K | $0.003 | $41.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 88.37 | $0.972 | $85.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 142.49 | $0.005 | $0.66 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 194.27 | $0.008 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 11.85 | $0.986 | $11.68 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |