Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 11.89 | $0.500 | $11.25 | +$5.31 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8.86 |
| $0.670 |
| $8.28 |
| +$2.35 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 9.01 | $0.660 | $7.79 | +$1.85 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 14.15 | $0.420 | $7.43 | +$1.49 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 7.25 | $0.820 | $6.98 | +$1.03 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 7.79 | $0.770 | $6.97 | +$0.97 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 7.25 | $0.820 | $6.82 | +$0.87 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 7.08 | $0.840 | $6.69 | +$0.74 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.49 | +$0.45 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11.41 | $0.540 | $5.19 | -$0.97 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.1 | $0.563 | $4.58 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.430 | $4.04 | +$0.6 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 9 | $0.370 | $3.2 | -$0.13 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.410 | $3.11 | -$0.58 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.54 | -$0.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.240 | $1.39 | -$0.41 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.180 | $1.09 | -$0.26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 2.39 | $0.660 | $1.07 | -$0.51 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 10.43 | $0.570 | $0.94 | -$5.01 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.220 |
| $1.32 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 7.44 | $0.312 | $2.32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8?Down | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.03 | $0.229 | $1.61 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 9.14 | $0.660 | $6.03 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.240 | $1.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.563 | $4.56 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.540 | $6.05 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 7.79 | $0.770 | $6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.300 | $2.52 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.500 | $5.61 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.660 | $1.58 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.41 | $0.540 | $6.16 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?No | buy | 11.2 | $0.540 | $6.05 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.490 | $1.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.71 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.410 | $3.69 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 9 | $0.370 | $3.33 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 11.2 | $0.540 | $6.05 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 9.15 | $0.620 | $5.67 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.180 | $1.35 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.15 | $0.420 | $5.94 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.660 | $5.95 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 12.46 | $0.477 | $5.94 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.804 | $5.94 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 11.89 | $0.500 | $5.95 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?No | buy | 7.82 | $0.760 | $5.94 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.01 | $0.540 | $5.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | buy | 7.82 | $0.760 | $5.94 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.570 | $5.95 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.550 | $5.95 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.01 | $0.668 | $6.02 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.820 | $5.94 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 6.86 | $0.866 | $5.94 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.820 | $5.94 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.720 | $5.95 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 7.52 | $0.790 | $5.94 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 19.68 | $0.302 | $5.94 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 6.35 | $0.933 | $5.92 | Feb 15, 2026 |