Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.899 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 5.2 |
| $0.962 |
| $5.12 |
| +$0.12 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.780 | $4.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.22 | $0.899 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 3.26 | $0.920 | $2.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | Yes | 40.73 | $0.049 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $0.68 | -$1.32 |
| buy |
| 4.55 |
| $0.220 |
| $1 |
| 3h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | sell | 2.25 | $0.920 | $2.07 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | sell | 2 | $0.560 | $1.12 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | sell | 6.57 | $0.530 | $3.48 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 40.73 | $0.049 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | sell | 17.66 | $0.061 | $1.08 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.553 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.899 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.949 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.899 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | buy | 17.67 | $0.057 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.879 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.426 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.971 | $10 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Bill Clinton charged by January 31?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 31?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 30?Yes | buy | 9.45 | $0.529 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 30?Yes | buy | 54.11 | $0.924 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 209.58 | $0.083 | $17.4 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.903 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Simone Gbagbo win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.982 | $3 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.959 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |