Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 88.14 | $0.227 | $82.1 | +$62.09 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 8.81 | $0.470 | $4.14 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 341.63 |
| $0.110 |
| $54.49 |
| +$16.95 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 56.57 | $0.766 | $51.59 | +$8.25 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 46.89 | $0.640 | $43.37 | +$13.36 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? | Yes | 39.78 | $0.880 | $38.47 | +$3.46 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 583.5 | $0.060 | $34.43 | -$0.58 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 156.25 | $0.160 | $24.22 | -$0.78 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 25.42 | $0.590 | $21.99 | +$6.99 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 39.25 | $0.510 | $20.22 | +$0.2 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 76.15 | $0.525 | $12.18 | -$27.82 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 9.61 | $0.665 | $8.12 | +$1.73 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 103.48 | $0.290 | $6.73 | -$23.28 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 87.26 | $0.121 | $6.41 | -$4.12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.02 | $0.580 | $6.18 | +$0.95 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.530 | $4.73 | +$2.08 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 86.05 | $0.214 | $4.56 | -$13.85 |
 Ramp IPO before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.180 | $3 | -$2.4 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 13.23 | $0.140 | $0.4 | -$1.45 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 144.78 | $0.142 | $0.14 | -$20.41 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.012 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 0.19 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.03 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 25.49 | $0.540 | $13.76 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.156 | $0.06 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.900 | $32.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No | buy | 35.36 | $0.990 | $35.01 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.47 | $0.360 | $25.01 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 583.5 | $0.060 | $35.01 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.230 | $10.81 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes | buy | 113.68 | $0.220 | $25.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.330 | $25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 174.87 | $0.032 | $5.55 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 174.87 | $0.050 | $8.74 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 175.05 | $0.200 | $35.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 175.05 | $0.200 | $35.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.860 | $0.03 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.860 | $0.03 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.860 | $0.15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.860 | $0.71 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.860 | $0.03 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.870 | $0.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.870 | $0.29 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.860 | $0.16 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.860 | $0.03 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.860 | $0.48 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.860 | $0.11 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.860 | $0.09 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.860 | $1.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.850 | $1.96 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.850 | $0.1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.850 | $0.12 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 3.02 | $0.850 | $2.57 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 3.59 | $0.850 | $3.05 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.850 | $4.23 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.850 | $1.28 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 11.61 | $0.850 | $9.87 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.850 | $0.12 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 15.19 | $0.850 | $12.91 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.850 | $0.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.850 | $0.23 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 7.85 | $0.850 | $6.67 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.850 | $0.07 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.850 | $0.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.850 | $0.91 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.850 | $0.89 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.850 | $0.65 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.850 | $0.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 2.37 | $0.850 | $2.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.850 | $1.53 | Jun 21, 2026 |