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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 14.66 | $0.996 | $14.59 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.66 | $0.996 | $14.6 | 3d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 14.61 |
| $0.999 |
| $14.6 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 14.61 | $0.999 | $14.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.999 | $14.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 76.58 | $0.999 | $76.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No | buy | 76.48 | $0.999 | $76.4 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.002 | $2.11 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?No | buy | 78.58 | $0.999 | $78.5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 78.58 | $0.999 | $78.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?No | buy | 78.48 | $0.999 | $78.4 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 78.08 | $0.999 | $78 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.16 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 80.08 | $0.999 | $80 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No | buy | 80.6 | $0.999 | $80.52 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 22?No | buy | 80.53 | $0.999 | $80.45 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?No | buy | 80.45 | $0.999 | $80.37 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 80.38 | $0.999 | $80.3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No | buy | 80.3 | $0.999 | $80.22 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 27?No | buy | 80.23 | $0.999 | $80.15 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 28?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 81.55 | $0.999 | $81.47 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?Yes | buy | 81.47 | $0.999 | $81.39 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 5?Yes | buy | 81.39 | $0.999 | $81.31 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 6?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 82.5 | $0.999 | $82.42 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 82.42 | $0.999 | $82.34 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 82.34 | $0.999 | $82.26 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.44 | $0.900 | $21.1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?Yes | buy | 79.92 | $0.998 | $79.76 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 10?No | buy | 79.76 | $0.999 | $79.68 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 79.68 | $0.999 | $79.6 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?No | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?No | buy | 80.8 | $0.999 | $80.72 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 45.09 | $0.998 | $45 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on December 21?Yes | buy | 35.04 | $0.999 | $35 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 15?Yes | buy | 80.59 | $0.999 | $80.51 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 5?Yes | buy | 80.51 | $0.999 | $80.43 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No | buy | 76.42 | $0.998 | $76.27 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 76.28 | $0.999 | $76.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 19?No | buy | 76.2 | $0.999 | $76.12 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.999 | $26 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 28.03 | $0.999 | $28 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.999 | $26 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 28.03 | $0.999 | $28 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |