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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.967 |
| $1 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.993 | $1.01 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the BLAST Slam VII Grand Final be a reverse sweep?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
Trump out as President by May 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.995 | $1.01 | May 15, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will anyone propose at the Met Gala?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.840 | $0.98 | Apr 28, 2026 |
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. ThunderThunder | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.984 | $1.01 | Apr 20, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.99 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will anyone propose at the Met Gala?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.930 | $0.96 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.920 | $0.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.968 | $1.02 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Bill Gates charged by June 30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.940 | $0.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.992 | $1.05 | Mar 8, 2026 |
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Bill Gates charged by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.944 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.986 | $1.02 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.984 | $1.05 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.976 | $1.02 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.910 | $0.96 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.952 | $0.98 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.975 | $1.02 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |