Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 1.43 | $0.952 | $1.38 | +$0.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.930 | $1.19 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.4 |
| $0.974 |
| $1.38 |
| +$0.02 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.987 | $1.37 | +$0 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.49 | $0.917 | $1.3 | -$0.07 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.920 | $1.29 | -$0.08 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1.56 | $0.880 | $1.25 | -$0.12 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30? | No | 1.28 | $0.930 | $1.2 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.21 | $0.981 | $1.2 | +$0.01 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.890 | $1.18 | -$0.19 |
| buy |
| 1.21 |
| $0.981 |
| $1.19 |
| 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.974 | $1.36 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.952 | $1.36 | 8d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.920 | $1.37 | 8d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.890 | $1.37 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.987 | $1.37 | 8d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.917 | $1.37 | 8d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.880 | $1.37 | 8d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.870 | $1.37 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.964 | $1.45 | 10d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.978 | $1.49 | 10d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.995 | $1.49 | 10d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.996 | $1.41 | 10d ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.985 | $1.48 | 12d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.990 | $1.49 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.960 | $1.44 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.960 | $1.44 | 20d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.996 | $1.85 | 20d ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.980 | $1.42 | 21d ago |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.977 | $1.42 | 21d ago |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.934 | $1.41 | 22d ago |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.910 | $1.4 | 23d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.940 | $1.39 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.960 | $1.37 | 26d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.720 | $1.34 | 28d ago |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 1.76 | $0.998 | $1.76 | 28d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.983 | $1.62 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.991 | $1.62 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.800 | $1.63 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.962 | $1.73 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.997 | $1.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.800 | $1.69 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.73 | $0.978 | $1.69 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.963 | $1.69 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.710 | $1.7 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.999 | $1.89 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.770 | $1.73 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.962 | $1.73 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.98 | $0.999 | $1.98 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.979 | $1.73 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.967 | $1.73 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.995 | $2.06 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.9 | $0.996 | $1.89 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.946 | $1.91 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.989 | $1.87 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.940 | $1.89 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.999 | $2.09 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.76 | $0.999 | $1.76 | Jul 29, 2026 |