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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 54.79 | $0.919 | $53.88 | +$3.52 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.410 | $1.01 | 43m ago |
|
| No |
| 35.22 |
| $0.288 |
| $32.58 |
| +$22.44 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 22.97 | $0.264 | $20.79 | +$14.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.83 | $0.930 | $14.6 | +$0.81 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 11.19 | $0.963 | $10.78 | +$0.01 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 8.05 | $0.927 | $7.81 | +$0.34 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 6.68 | $0.605 | $6.64 | +$2.6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4.99 | $0.848 | $4.27 | +$0.04 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 3.98 | $0.843 | $3.53 | +$0.18 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 3.23 | $0.938 | $3.02 | -$0.01 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.22 | $0.940 | $3.01 | -$0.02 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 3.64 | $0.833 | $2.96 | -$0.07 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.91 | $0.979 | $2.91 | +$0.06 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 2.95 | $0.966 | $2.85 | -$0 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 2.73 | $0.370 | $2.34 | +$1.33 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.96 | $0.510 | $1.8 | -$0.22 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 1.37 | $0.927 | $1.25 | -$0.02 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 1.6 | $0.630 | $1.19 | +$0.18 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.26 | $0.800 | $1.17 | +$0.16 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.830 | $1.17 | +$0.16 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.2 | $0.760 | $1.16 | +$0.24 |
 Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.546 | $1.1 | +$0.09 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.47 | $0.410 | $1.05 | +$0.04 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 2.46 | $0.410 | $1.03 | +$0.02 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 1.11 | $0.910 | $1.03 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 2.06 |
| $0.440 |
| $0.91 |
| 45m ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.974 | $2.03 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.490 | $1.01 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.480 | $1.15 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.420 | $1.01 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.410 | $1.01 | 14h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.969 | $1.01 | 21h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.969 | $1.01 | 21h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.960 | $0.08 | 21h ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 1.62 | $0.520 | $0.84 | 22h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 5.57 | $0.530 | $2.95 | 22h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.490 | $0.57 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 1.98 | $0.510 | $1.01 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.500 | $1.01 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.500 | $1.01 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.480 | $0.72 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.530 | $1.01 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.530 | $1.01 | 23h ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.959 | $1.46 | 1d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.960 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.965 | $0.47 | 1d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.52 | $0.952 | $0.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.960 | $1.01 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.965 | $0.54 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.934 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.971 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.965 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.939 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.931 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | sell | 9.24 | $0.070 | $0.65 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | sell | 2.37 | $0.060 | $0.14 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.060 | $0.17 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 14.43 | $0.070 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | 3d ago |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.963 | $1.01 | 3d ago |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.965 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.957 | $1.34 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.959 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.965 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.963 | $5.05 | 5d ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.961 | $0.16 | 5d ago |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.930 | $1.13 | 5d ago |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.919 | $1.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.910 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.905 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.470 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.510 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.510 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.890 | $0.3 | 5d ago |