Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.999 | $3.4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 5.86 |
| $0.985 |
| $5.77 |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.958 | $7.95 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 141.24 | $0.720 | $101.69 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 99.79 | $0.992 | $98.99 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 110.53 | $0.998 | $110.31 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 85.36 | $0.999 | $85.27 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 85.36 | $0.998 | $85.19 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 94.82 | $0.993 | $94.16 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 94.82 | $0.995 | $94.35 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 79.61 | $0.997 | $79.37 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 79.62 | $0.998 | $79.46 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 88.13 | $0.997 | $87.87 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 88.14 | $0.998 | $87.96 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $5.00-5.25 in May?No | buy | 14.96 | $0.999 | $14.95 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 101.83 | $0.996 | $101.42 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 101.84 | $0.997 | $101.53 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 99.72 | $0.997 | $99.42 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 99.73 | $0.998 | $99.53 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.50 in May?No | buy | 15.21 | $0.999 | $15.19 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 100.65 | $0.995 | $100.15 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | buy | 8.87 | $0.996 | $8.83 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 100.65 | $0.996 | $100.25 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 100.75 | $0.998 | $100.55 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.972 | $1.25 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 100.75 | $0.998 | $100.55 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.999 | $8.48 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 105.19 | $0.998 | $104.98 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 105.2 | $0.999 | $105.09 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.985 | $2.77 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 94.01 | $0.997 | $93.73 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.992 | $1.2 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 110.16 | $0.993 | $109.39 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 110.16 | $0.994 | $109.5 | May 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 69.86 | $0.984 | $68.74 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 35.13 | $0.997 | $35.02 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 58.38 | $0.997 | $58.2 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 2?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.978 | $2.92 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 58.39 | $0.998 | $58.27 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 35.13 | $0.998 | $35.06 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 37.06 | $0.997 | $36.95 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 58.23 | $0.997 | $58.06 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 37.05 | $0.998 | $36.98 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 58.24 | $0.998 | $58.12 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 73.14 | $0.998 | $72.99 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.998 | $1.46 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 73.14 | $0.996 | $72.85 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 76.27 | $0.997 | $76.04 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 76.27 | $0.998 | $76.12 | Apr 21, 2025 |