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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 21.18 |
| $0.944 |
| $20 |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?No | buy | 96.1 | $0.998 | $95.91 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 39.02 | $0.560 | $21.85 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.86 | $0.980 | $21.42 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.009 | $0.1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?No | buy | 2.76 | $0.980 | $2.7 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.986 | $2.7 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Becca Good charged by March 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by January 31?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.949 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Jan 3, 2026 |