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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 159.99 | $0.782 | $149.59 | +$24.4 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 151.77 |
| $0.864 |
| $148.05 |
| +$16.87 |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026? | No | 95 | $0.796 | $91.96 | +$16.31 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 57.99 | $0.952 | $56.25 | +$1.04 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 90 | $0.682 | $40.95 | -$20.45 |
 Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.952 | $37.82 | -$0.26 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.920 | $28.05 | +$0.45 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 25 | $0.880 | $23.63 | +$1.63 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 59.99 | $0.368 | $22.23 | +$0.15 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 19.99 | $0.940 | $19.64 | +$0.85 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.977 | $19.24 | -$0.3 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $17.5 | -$0.5 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.890 | $16.29 | -$1.5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.770 | $15.5 | +$0.1 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.160 | $14.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 15 | $0.870 | $11.78 | -$1.28 |
 Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne? | AfD | 16 | $0.680 | $11.28 | +$0.4 |
 Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 12 | $0.920 | $11.16 | +$0.12 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? | Yes | 10 | $0.900 | $9.66 | +$0.66 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.440 | $9.1 | +$0.3 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 15 | $0.580 | $8.73 | +$0.03 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 9.81 | $0.720 | $7.7 | +$0.64 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 12 | $0.620 | $6.3 | -$1.14 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | No | 8.33 | $0.590 | $5.08 | +$0.17 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? | Yes | 5 | $0.919 | $4.85 | +$0.26 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.900 |
| $9 |
| 16d ago |
 Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 20.37 | $0.540 | $11 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.450 | $2.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $9.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | sell | 110 | $0.760 | $83.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.912 | $36.5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan OmarNothing | sell | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.806 | $8.57 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 129.47 | $0.011 | $1.42 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.282 | $28.16 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 56 | $0.081 | $4.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 110 | $0.900 | $99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 57 | $0.530 | $30.21 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 48.68 | $0.650 | $31.64 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.780 | $5.07 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.028 | $0.18 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?No | buy | 28.88 | $0.905 | $26.15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?No | buy | 60 | $0.059 | $3.54 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.950 | $47.49 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?No | buy | 310 | $0.954 | $295.84 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.820 | $18.04 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | sell | 42.19 | $0.945 | $39.86 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.790 | $10.27 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jan 28, 2026 |