Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 128.24 | $0.780 | $113.5 | +$13.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 68.64 | $0.740 | $50.79 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 102.18 |
| $0.852 |
| $91.45 |
| +$4.37 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 102.01 | $0.443 | $44.88 | -$0.28 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 55.53 | $0.760 | $31.93 | -$10.27 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 73.86 | $0.284 | $24.74 | +$3.75 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 86.88 | $0.726 | $22.59 | -$40.53 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 9.41 | $0.601 | $9.07 | +$3.41 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 13.86 | $0.660 | $8.8 | -$0.35 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 12.31 | $0.509 | $7.88 | +$1.61 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.98 | $0.864 | $6.9 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 18.25 |
| $0.676 |
| $12.33 |
| 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 55.53 | $0.760 | $42.2 | 7h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 7h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 7h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.460 | $4.5 | 17h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.51 | $0.870 | $5.66 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 16.58 | $0.430 | $7.13 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 23.77 | $0.430 | $10.22 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.420 | $2.05 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.43 | $0.420 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 33.48 | $0.460 | $15.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.470 | $2.2 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.22 | $0.450 | $2.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.440 | $2.34 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.840 | $1.24 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 13.86 | $0.660 | $9.15 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30.31 | $0.110 | $3.33 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 61.41 | $0.930 | $57.11 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.930 | $0.6 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.110 | $0.33 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.110 | $0.17 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 39.92 | $0.610 | $24.35 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 31.54 | $0.590 | $18.61 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.51 | $0.110 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.77 | $0.110 | $0.08 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.110 | $0.2 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.110 | $0.68 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.110 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.110 | $0.12 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.110 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.110 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.110 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.110 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.110 | $0.03 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.44 | $0.110 | $0.05 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.57 | $0.110 | $0.06 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.110 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.110 | $0.22 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.110 | $0.02 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.110 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.110 | $0.06 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.110 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.110 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.110 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.110 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.110 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.110 | $0.03 | 2d ago |