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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.090 | $775.49 | +$676.49 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.960 | $18.12 | May 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 33 |
| $0.940 |
| $31.86 |
| +$0.84 |
| US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.900 | $28.95 | +$1.95 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 28 | $0.860 | $26.18 | +$2.1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 25 | $0.790 | $21.38 | +$1.63 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $18.7 | +$1.7 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.918 | $9.62 | +$0.44 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.650 | $5.8 | -$20.2 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 44 | $0.150 | $1.47 | -$5.13 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.900 |
| $27 |
| May 21, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.978 | $35.21 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.949 | $22.78 | May 21, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.860 | $24.08 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?No | buy | 12 | $0.940 | $11.28 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 92.28 | $0.120 | $11.07 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.988 | $23.71 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.650 | $26 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 19 | $0.978 | $18.58 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.05 | $0.970 | $29.15 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 25.85 | $0.490 | $12.67 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.001 | $2.14 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.988 | $23.71 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.940 | $31.02 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.940 | $15.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.950 | $21.85 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.95 | $0.350 | $6.98 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.950 | $30.4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.250 | $4.35 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.978 | $24.45 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.999 | $28.97 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.850 | $10.2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.930 | $41.85 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.150 | $6.6 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.86 | $0.983 | $12.64 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.998 | $21.96 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.999 | $30.97 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 No airdrop in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.947 | $28.41 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | buy | 26.56 | $0.979 | $26 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 34.25 | $0.990 | $33.91 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 34.25 | $0.993 | $34 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 33 | $0.985 | $32.51 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 25.8 | $0.988 | $25.48 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 27.09 | $0.830 | $22.48 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?No | buy | 35.5 | $0.986 | $35 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 40.53 | $0.998 | $40.45 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.930 | $34.41 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.997 | $65.8 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No | buy | 48.87 | $0.999 | $48.82 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 22.43 | $0.981 | $22 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 31.1 | $0.883 | $27.46 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Trump divorce in 2025?No | buy | 30.43 | $0.986 | $30 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump end NASA in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.5 | Oct 29, 2025 |