Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 139.16 | $0.548 | $13.22 | -$63.07 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 320.98 | $0.433 | $139.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 32.26 |
| $0.620 |
| $2.1 |
| -$17.9 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.240 | $0.36 | -$4.64 |
| buy |
| 42.65 |
| $0.586 |
| $25 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | sell | 810.87 | $0.172 | $139.87 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 810.87 | $0.197 | $160 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will "Crimp" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?Yes | buy | 67.67 | $0.090 | $6.09 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.090 | $40.91 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?No | buy | 56.62 | $0.353 | $20 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.95 | $0.845 | $15.17 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.31 | $0.838 | $17.01 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?No | sell | 60 | $0.979 | $58.73 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 28.04 | $0.202 | $5.67 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 27.64 | $0.181 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 66.55 | $0.174 | $11.58 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?No | sell | 96.15 | $0.990 | $95.15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Picture" during Panthers visit?No | buy | 17.98 | $0.556 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.470 | $102.17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.590 | $23.6 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.540 | $2.69 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 94.18 | $0.531 | $50 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.370 | $20.35 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 140.37 | $0.360 | $50.53 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.303 | $48.53 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | buy | 195.08 | $0.241 | $47.09 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 187.34 | $0.989 | $185.27 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 422.71 | $0.355 | $150 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.277 | $110.8 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.061 | $74.46 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 592.22 | $0.169 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 628.33 | $0.075 | $47 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 487.8 | $0.041 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)EDward Gaming | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 58.45 | $0.114 | $6.65 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 106.58 | $0.235 | $25 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 142.79 | $0.350 | $50 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 119.17 | $0.234 | $27.9 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | buy | 734.88 | $0.027 | $20 | Dec 23, 2025 |