Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.56 | $0.948 | $4.32 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.47 |
| $0.910 |
| $1.34 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.740 | $1.12 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?Yes | sell | 2.11 | $0.470 | $0.99 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.900 | $4.11 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.820 | $1.25 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Hamburger SV win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?No | sell | 13.65 | $0.998 | $13.62 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.820 | $1.26 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Hamburger SV win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?No | buy | 13.65 | $0.999 | $13.64 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.874 | $1.29 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.796 | $1.18 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.800 | $0.99 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.900 | $1.13 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.860 | $1.07 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.880 | $1.11 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will The White Lotus be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will The White Lotus be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.923 | $1.02 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in September?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.966 | $1.19 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.876 | $1.43 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.910 | $1.49 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump send the national guard to Detroit?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.984 | $1.11 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in September?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.900 | $1.11 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.930 | $1.52 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump send the national guard to Detroit?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.920 | $1.04 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.770 | $1.06 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $120K on August 18?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.490 | $1.25 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.937 | $1.12 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will XRP dip to $2.30 in August?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.954 | $1.33 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.850 | $1.18 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 0.85 | $0.825 | $0.7 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.840 | $1.37 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 China coup attempt in 2025?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.920 | $1.38 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| China coup attempt in 2025?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.930 | $1.4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Trinity Rodman OT Goal to send USWNT to the semi-finals win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Play?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.990 | $1.28 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 16.54 | $0.995 | $16.46 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 16.55 | $0.999 | $16.53 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.910 | $1.1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.900 | $1.4 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.920 | $1.43 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 80°F or higher on June 11?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.970 | $1.13 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Menendez brother released from custody before August?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.957 | $0.56 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Menendez brother released from custody before August?No | sell | 0.31 | $0.949 | $0.29 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Kwon Yeong-guk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.965 | $2.48 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.740 | $0.37 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.798 | $1.08 | May 25, 2025 |
| Menendez brother released from custody before August?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.910 | $0.46 | May 19, 2025 |
| Menendez brother released from custody before August?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.920 | $1.28 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | sell | 3.45 | $0.470 | $1.62 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | buy | 3.46 | $0.350 | $1.21 | May 9, 2025 |