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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 213.68 | $0.979 | $209.09 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes| sell |
| 259.46 |
| $0.806 |
| $209.1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 259.47 | $0.870 | $225.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 129.79 | $0.969 | $125.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 129.79 | $0.968 | $125.62 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 180.78 | $0.965 | $174.47 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 180.79 | $0.940 | $169.94 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 120.15 | $0.997 | $119.79 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 120.15 | $0.910 | $109.34 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 51.14 | $0.978 | $50 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 50.15 | $0.997 | $50 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 97.23 | $0.550 | $53.48 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 83.34 | $0.955 | $79.6 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 40.9 | $0.978 | $40 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 35.37 | $0.990 | $35 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.900 | $75 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 243.16 | $0.019 | $4.62 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 97.23 | $0.520 | $50.56 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 74.76 | $0.810 | $60.56 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 74.77 | $0.810 | $60.56 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 291.67 | $0.024 | $7 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 52.25 | $0.957 | $50 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 102.37 | $0.977 | $100 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 239.81 | $0.907 | $217.57 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 239.81 | $0.880 | $211.03 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 211.02 | $0.970 | $204.69 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 213.22 | $0.960 | $204.69 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 213.22 | $0.950 | $202.56 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 215.49 | $0.940 | $202.56 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 106.55 | $0.930 | $99.09 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 113.9 | $0.870 | $99.09 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 113.9 | $0.880 | $100.23 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 108.94 | $0.920 | $100.22 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.31 | $0.930 | $54.23 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 64.56 | $0.840 | $54.23 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 64.57 | $0.845 | $54.55 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 218.22 | $0.250 | $54.56 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 218.23 | $0.220 | $48.01 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 159.57 | $0.940 | $150 | Dec 4, 2025 |