Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 63.25 | $0.436 | $28.46 | +$0.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | 4h ago |
| Yes |
| 29.3 |
| $0.815 |
| $27.96 |
| +$4.07 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 29.42 | $0.943 | $27.8 | +$0.05 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 32.73 | $0.688 | $26.18 | +$3.68 |
 Lula participates in debate before first round? | No | 35.37 | $0.707 | $21.93 | -$3.07 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 34.82 | $0.517 | $21.42 | +$3.42 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 37.69 | $0.472 | $19.79 | +$1.99 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 33.34 | $0.600 | $19 | -$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 37.85 | $0.282 | $17.34 | +$6.67 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.43 | $0.669 | $15.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 64.73 | $0.048 | $12.78 | +$9.65 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 16.72 | $0.299 | $5.96 | +$0.96 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.330 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.03 | -$1.98 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.01 | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.01 | -$2 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Yes| buy |
| 16.39 |
| $0.610 |
| $10 |
| 1d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 41.07 | $0.926 | $38.03 | 1d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.270 | $8.18 | 5d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.68 | $0.928 | $12.7 | 5d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.25 | $0.928 | $16.94 | 5d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 5d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 21.61 | $0.424 | $9.16 | 5d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.054 | $1.08 | 6d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.940 | $1.03 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.440 | $11 | 6d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes | sell | 10.66 | $0.972 | $10.36 | 6d ago |
| Lula participates in debate before first round?No | buy | 15.37 | $0.651 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 14.81 | $0.071 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes | buy | 10.66 | $0.938 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | 7d ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 4.49 | $0.430 | $1.93 | 7d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.440 | $13.2 | 7d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.393 | $3.93 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 21.61 | $0.509 | $11 | 9d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.81 | $0.135 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 11.81 | $0.720 | $8.5 | 9d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | 12d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.931 | $18.62 | 12d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.071 | $0.71 | 12d ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.020 | $0.32 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.987 | $11.61 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.880 | $2.44 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.540 | $4 | 27d ago |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | 27d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 19.48 | $0.410 | $7.99 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.72 | $0.299 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.770 | $15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |