Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 204.53 | $0.900 | $200.03 | +$15.95 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 204.53 | $0.900 | $184.08 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 17 |
| $0.993 |
| $16.88 |
| Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.980 | $2.52 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.905 | $27.16 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?No | sell | 28.99 | $0.983 | $28.5 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | sell | 46.89 | $0.684 | $32.07 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?No | sell | 40.02 | $0.898 | $35.92 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Trump announce run for 3rd term?No | sell | 40 | $0.945 | $37.8 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | sell | 75.68 | $0.907 | $68.61 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 80 | $0.944 | $75.53 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?Yes | sell | 11.24 | $0.031 | $0.35 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?No | sell | 34.96 | $0.795 | $27.79 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 31 | $0.984 | $30.5 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?No | sell | 79.98 | $0.003 | $0.24 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?No | sell | 16.93 | $0.940 | $15.91 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be 70 or higher?No | sell | 39.35 | $0.975 | $38.37 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.039 | $0.2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Norway win the UEFA Women's Euro?No | sell | 79 | $0.972 | $76.79 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $4.5-4.75 in June?No | sell | 38.73 | $0.976 | $37.78 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.041 | $0.21 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?No | sell | 79.98 | $0.951 | $76.06 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Mahmoud Reza Banki be the next CEO of X?No | sell | 77.88 | $0.880 | $68.53 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | sell | 79.05 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.043 | $0.21 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be more than 4% and up to 8%?No | sell | 42.26 | $0.006 | $0.25 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | sell | 79.2 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 15.45 | $0.710 | $10.97 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 35.93 | $0.974 | $35 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 78.55 | $0.747 | $58.68 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 65.03 | $0.250 | $16.26 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 58.99 | $0.820 | $48.37 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.821 | $5.75 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 55 | $0.953 | $52.42 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 78.44 | $0.971 | $76.17 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.823 | $8.23 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.753 | $30.12 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.912 | $72.05 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 60.95 | $0.719 | $43.82 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No | sell | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 38 | $0.874 | $33.21 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 13.75 | $0.980 | $13.48 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?No | sell | 39.99 | $0.950 | $37.99 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved before August?No | sell | 40.01 | $0.941 | $37.65 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 60.36 | $0.795 | $47.99 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 8.64 | $0.797 | $6.89 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 10 | $0.798 | $7.98 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 11 | $0.958 | $10.54 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 2025 July hottest on record?No | sell | 30.01 | $0.969 | $29.08 | Jul 14, 2025 |