Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 90 | $0.494 | $39.6 | -$4.9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.745 |
| $19.46 |
| +$4.56 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $18.3 | +$0.1 |
 Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | No | 20 | $0.740 | $14.7 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.500 |
| $20 |
| 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | 11d ago |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.745 | $14.9 | 18d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.845 | $42.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.755 | $15.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Yes | buy | 29.9 | $0.968 | $28.94 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal | buy | 30 | $0.323 | $9.68 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.639 | $31.95 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets | buy | 2.86K | $0.770 | $2.2K | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??Yes | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.7K | $0.001 | $7.7 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.5K | $0.001 | $8.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.59K | $0.001 | $5.59 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 600 | $0.990 | $594 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MavericksMavericks | sell | 399.99 | $0.830 | $331.99 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MavericksMavericks | sell | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MavericksMavericks | sell | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 170 | $0.770 | $130.9 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Kings vs. RocketsRockets | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.6K | $0.001 | $7.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |