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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 81.4 | $0.860 | $30.52 | -$39.48 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | May 23, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 7 |
| $0.290 |
| $2.03 |
| May 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes | buy | 680 | $0.133 | $90.36 | May 22, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.200 | $140 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 314.22 | $0.460 | $144.54 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No | buy | 893.18 | $0.448 | $400 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 57.5 | $0.374 | $21.5 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No | buy | 375.48 | $0.399 | $150 | May 22, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 81.4 | $0.860 | $70 | May 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 36.76 | $0.680 | $25 | May 22, 2026 |
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 52.1 | $0.960 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 139.24 | $0.790 | $110 | May 22, 2026 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 740.81 | $0.540 | $400 | Jun 5, 2025 |
CHIPS Act repealed before July?Yes | buy | 104.41 | $0.048 | $5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 314.96 | $0.038 | $12 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 68.54 | $0.730 | $50 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | buy | 274.23 | $0.729 | $200 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 197.57 | $0.506 | $100 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?No | buy | 609.15 | $0.890 | $542.14 | Nov 21, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 82.9 | $0.800 | $66.32 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 87.01 | $0.770 | $67 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 77.78 | $0.900 | $70 | Nov 6, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.940 | $5.8 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 126.44 | $0.870 | $110 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Macron out as president of France in 2024?No | sell | 141.3 | $0.973 | $137.48 | Oct 20, 2024 |
Will Brazil unban X before October?No | buy | 85.19 | $0.810 | $69 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Macron out as president of France in 2024?No | buy | 141.3 | $0.920 | $130 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Will France ban Telegram before October?No | buy | 146.6 | $0.955 | $140 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 77.52 | $0.516 | $40 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Aug 3, 2024 |
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Aug 3, 2024 |
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.045 | $15 | Aug 3, 2024 |
Will Harris lead by 1 or more points on August 9?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.104 | $10 | Aug 3, 2024 |
Will Harris lead by 0.5-0.9 points on August 9?Yes | buy | 149.45 | $0.134 | $20 | Aug 3, 2024 |
Will Harris lead by 0.1-0.4 points on August 9?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Aug 3, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?No | buy | 32.22 | $0.900 | $29 | Jul 29, 2024 |
Biden COVID free by next Friday?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Biden nominated before Democratic convention?No | sell | 243 | $0.995 | $241.89 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Biden nominated before Democratic convention?No | sell | 26.11 | $0.990 | $25.85 | Jul 21, 2024 |