Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | 15h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.09 |
| $0.920 |
| $1.05 |
| +$0.05 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1.01 | +$0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | No | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1.96 | $0.510 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 8.93 | $0.112 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.62 | $0.975 | $0.61 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.14 | $0.410 | $0.52 | +$0.06 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.3 | $0.690 | $0.26 | +$0.05 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.82 | $0.120 | $0.07 | -$0.63 |
| sell |
| 0.24 |
| $0.994 |
| $0.24 |
| 15h ago |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.996 | $0.1 | 17h ago |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.985 | $0.07 | 6d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.112 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.025 | $0 | 13d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.987 | $0.87 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.830 | $0.02 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.670 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.660 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.660 | $0.03 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.660 | $0.03 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.660 | $0.03 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.660 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.660 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.660 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.830 | $0.02 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.830 | $0.02 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.985 | $0.01 | 15d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.830 | $0.02 | 17d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.830 | $0.05 | 17d ago |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.720 | $0.29 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.31 | $0.750 | $0.23 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.740 | $0.19 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.740 | $0.04 | 26d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.810 | $0.05 | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.810 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.810 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.983 | $0.27 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.971 | $0.12 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.37 | $0.036 | $0.09 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |