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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | May 2, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 3.32 |
| $0.550 |
| $1.83 |
| May 1, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.39 | $0.710 | $8.8 | May 1, 2026 |
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.21 | $0.680 | $4.9 | May 1, 2026 |
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?No | sell | 38.34 | $0.360 | $13.8 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 31.89 | $0.770 | $24.56 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 42.06 | $0.650 | $27.34 | May 1, 2026 |
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | May 1, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 58 | $0.579 | $33.58 | May 1, 2026 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.391 | $47.71 | May 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 295.59 | $0.400 | $118.24 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 127.36 | $0.977 | $124.48 | May 1, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 165.74 | $0.770 | $127.62 | May 1, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.590 | $147.5 | May 1, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 345.47 | $0.913 | $315.37 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?Yes | sell | 122.01 | $0.440 | $53.71 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 137 | $0.660 | $90.39 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 89.27 | $0.495 | $44.23 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.001 | $1.11 | May 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 172.26 | $0.630 | $108.52 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?No | buy | 75.79 | $0.035 | $2.68 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 19.41 | $0.039 | $0.77 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 172.27 | $0.640 | $110.25 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?No | buy | 45.24 | $0.047 | $2.13 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.034 | $1.9 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?No | buy | 157.95 | $0.056 | $8.85 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 49.59 | $0.123 | $6.12 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?No | buy | 49.98 | $0.087 | $4.35 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?No | buy | 244.19 | $0.088 | $21.49 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?No | buy | 15.84 | $0.070 | $1.11 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 38.43 | $0.050 | $1.92 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?No | sell | 113.74 | $0.093 | $10.61 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?No | buy | 49.69 | $0.166 | $8.24 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 25.39 | $0.067 | $1.7 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 16.61 | $0.162 | $2.68 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 19.59 | $0.121 | $2.37 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?Yes | sell | 155.55 | $0.082 | $12.7 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 94.46 | $0.145 | $13.72 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 54.04 | $0.111 | $6.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?No | buy | 23.22 | $0.089 | $2.07 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?No | buy | 35.64 | $0.095 | $3.39 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?No | sell | 75.57 | $0.219 | $16.55 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?Yes | sell | 76.75 | $0.208 | $15.97 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.200 | $6.06 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?Yes | sell | 9.35 | $0.901 | $8.42 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 73.73 | $0.241 | $17.77 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 28?Yes | buy | 75.79 | $0.023 | $1.73 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?No | buy | 29.02 | $0.190 | $5.51 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 8.95 | $0.180 | $1.61 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 51.65 | $0.131 | $6.79 | Apr 28, 2026 |