Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 139.65 | $0.401 | $56 | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 357.14 |
| $0.420 |
| $150 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 73.09 | $0.675 | $49.31 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 73.1 | $0.670 | $49 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | sell | 98 | $0.910 | $89.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.031 | $32 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.080 | $160 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 574.71 | $0.087 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 758.65 | $0.924 | $701.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 758.65 | $0.966 | $732.61 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.680 | $102 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.080 | $15 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 190.42 | $0.236 | $45 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 744.61 | $0.955 | $711.1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 711.1 | $0.648 | $460.64 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 350.44 | $0.034 | $12 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 176.47 | $0.850 | $150 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 354.12 | $0.147 | $52 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.019 | $19 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.035 | $15 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 701.93 | $0.963 | $676.17 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 374.37 | $0.799 | $299.02 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 127.39 | $0.785 | $100 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 200.18 | $0.430 | $86 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Enemy" 5+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.505 | $50.54 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 143.68 | $0.870 | $125 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.030 | $90.8 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Estonia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 717.04 | $0.139 | $100 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 275.95 | $0.362 | $100 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.037 | $110 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" during his May 13 interview?Yes | sell | 74.8 | $0.018 | $1.35 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his May 13 interview?Yes | sell | 40.27 | $0.214 | $8.64 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his May 13 interview?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.035 | $3.45 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.510 | $28.05 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.500 | $9.9 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 40.28 | $0.785 | $31.6 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 270.54 | $0.037 | $10 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 80.95 | $0.630 | $51 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Mineral" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | sell | 76.79 | $0.990 | $76.02 | Apr 2, 2025 |