Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETUp | buy | 25.05 | $0.796 | $19.94 | May 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 14.11 |
| $0.790 |
| $11.15 |
| May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown | buy | 26.32 | $0.950 | $25 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 906.41 | $0.255 | $231.23 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 906.4 | $0.233 | $210.78 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?Yes | buy | 22.88 | $0.393 | $9 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.231 | $11.55 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 229.19 | $0.531 | $121.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?Yes | sell | 279.89 | $0.030 | $8.45 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 684.14 | $0.575 | $393.25 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 380.8 | $0.290 | $110.43 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Outage by March 20?No | sell | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?Yes | sell | 57.25 | $0.640 | $36.64 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.53K | $0.710 | $1.09K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?Yes | buy | 279.9 | $0.071 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Taoiseach events?Yes | sell | 319.94 | $0.037 | $11.97 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arch" during Taoiseach events?Yes | sell | 138.33 | $0.181 | $25.07 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Taoiseach events?Yes | sell | 159.1 | $0.074 | $11.73 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 4.14K | $0.012 | $48.05 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.61K | $0.183 | $476.99 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 253.75 | $0.754 | $191.25 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.029 | $37.27 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | sell | 397 | $0.110 | $43.67 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| ChatGPT Outage by March 31?No | buy | 749.96 | $0.120 | $90 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| ChatGPT Outage by March 31?No | buy | 164.62 | $0.095 | $15.59 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arch" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 138.33 | $0.337 | $46.65 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 159.11 | $0.126 | $20 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 319.95 | $0.063 | $20 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.236 | $47.18 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.851 | $850.65 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | sell | 296.64 | $0.137 | $40.56 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?No | sell | 458.47 | $0.275 | $126.06 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Yes | buy | 44.36 | $0.520 | $23.07 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?No | buy | 89.98 | $0.343 | $30.82 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.063 | $3.15 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Yes | buy | 114.74 | $0.058 | $6.71 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?No | buy | 794.21 | $0.038 | $30 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.274 | $274.09 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 328.22 | $0.380 | $124.72 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 244.61 | $0.245 | $59.98 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.218 | $247.79 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 346.86 | $0.761 | $263.91 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes | sell | 187.48 | $0.984 | $184.44 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 179.77 | $0.424 | $76.19 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1.64K | $0.032 | $52.96 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 248.45 | $0.211 | $52.46 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.060 | $60.78 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 68.57 | $0.750 | $51.43 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 204.52 | $0.093 | $19.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 237.3 | $0.890 | $211.2 | Mar 17, 2026 |